Cash or Points? Compare the Cost of an Award Trip

Compare cash fares with award taxes, flexibility and points used. Build a redemption decision around a trip you would actually buy.

Updated

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“Is this a good use of points?” sounds like it needs a points valuation chart. It doesn’t. It needs an honest cash price for the same trip, the cash you would still pay on the award, and a clear look at what each option gives up. This guide builds that comparison in five steps, with two worked examples.

The numbers in the examples are illustrative, chosen to show the method. They are not current prices for any route.

Select an honest cash comparison

The comparison is only as good as the cash fare you put into it. Use a fare you would actually buy, not the cheapest one on the screen and not the most expensive one either.

Match the award on the things that matter:

If you would genuinely never pay cash for the cabin you are booking with points, say so. In that case the honest comparison is with the ticket you would have bought, and the points are buying an upgrade in comfort rather than saving the full premium-cabin fare.

Calculate the cash avoided by redeeming

Start with money, not points:

Cash avoided = comparable cash total − cash you still pay on the award

The cash you still pay on the award is usually the taxes and fees, plus any carrier-imposed charges the booking program adds. These vary a great deal between programs, even for the same flight, so use the figure shown at the award checkout rather than an estimate.

If the cash you would still pay is close to the cash fare, there is little to gain from redeeming, however impressive the cabin sounds.

Divide by points only after defining the numerator

Once you know the cash avoided, you can express it per point:

Cents per point = cash avoided ÷ points used × 100

Label the result in cents per point for this booking. It describes this one redemption, under these assumptions. It isn’t a universal value for the currency. A figure that looks high on one booking can be ordinary on another, and points have different uses for different people.

Use the result to compare options you actually have: two programs pricing the same flight, two dates, or redeeming now versus saving the points for a trip you already know you want.

Compare flexibility and earnings foregone

Two things often tip the decision, and neither shows up in the calculation above.

Flexibility. Read the change and cancellation terms for both options. A refundable cash fare and an award that returns your miles for free are very different from a non-refundable fare or an award with a heavy change fee. If your plans might change, the more flexible option is worth something, even if you can’t put an exact number on it.

Earnings foregone. A paid ticket usually earns miles and status credit with the operating airline, and award tickets often don’t. Check the operating airline’s earning chart for both tickets. If the cash ticket would earn meaningful miles or help you reach a status level you care about, subtract a conservative value for them from the cash avoided. If you don’t chase status, you can usually leave this out.

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Choose the option with the better total trade-off

Two worked examples show how the same method leads to different answers. The numbers are illustrative.

A low-cash-fare case. An economy round trip costs $450 in cash, with checked bags included. The award costs 30,000 miles plus $90 in taxes and fees.

The cash ticket would also earn some miles. The cash fare is modest, and both options carry similar change rules. Many travelers would pay cash here and keep the 30,000 miles for a trip where cash prices are high.

A high-cash-fare case. A business-class round trip costs $5,200 in cash. The award costs 100,000 miles plus $350 in taxes and carrier charges.

That looks like an easy decision, but only if $5,200 was a fare you would ever pay. Suppose you would really have bought premium economy at $1,400. Then the honest cash avoided is $1,400 − $350 = $1,050, or about 1.05 cents per point. What the points buy is a business-class seat for the price of premium economy. That can still be well worth it on an overnight flight. Just be clear that this is the decision you are making.

In both cases, finish with three questions:

  1. Is the award’s cash cost a small fraction of the cash fare?
  2. Is the award at least as flexible as the cash ticket, or is the difference acceptable?
  3. Would you rather keep the points for a trip where they would save more?

If the answers are yes, yes and no, redeem. Otherwise, paying cash is often the better choice.

Common questions

Should I use the lowest advertised fare in the comparison? Only if you would actually book it. Add bag and seat fees to basic fares, and skip fares with itineraries you would never accept.

Do award taxes reduce redemption value? Yes. Every dollar you still pay on the award reduces the cash avoided. That’s why the same flight booked through two programs can be a good redemption in one and a poor one in the other.

How should flexibility affect the decision? Treat it as a tie-breaker that can outweigh a small difference in value. If your plans are uncertain, favor the option you can change or cancel cheaply.

Should I count points I would earn on a cash ticket? Count them if they matter to you, at a conservative value, especially if they help you reach status. Leave them out if you would never use them.

For the steps before this decision (choosing a booking program and finding seats before transferring points), see Award travel for beginners. Before you transfer anything, also search partner airline awards.